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Around SBN: Why We're Skeptical Of LeBron James

BW Chart for Jets vs Canadiens 2/5

Hey, remember this?  That was fun.

Another game, another crushing shooting performance. The shutout at the hands of Carey Price and the Canadiens comes at a time when we still hoped to get into the fight for the Eastern Conference playoffs. Obviously, we are not completely out of it, but being 7 points back is an unappealing hole to climb out of. I'm secretly hoping luck flips its switch and the pucks start going in or something, because otherwise we hardly have a chance in hell of squeaking in.

Back to the Montreal game; I thought we sucked. It was a deflating game for a lot of reasons, the most prominent for me being that we finally had powerplays to work with and we couldn't get anything (to make matters worse, we gave up a shortie). About the time I was going to chalk the entire thing up to another lame-duck effort...

Star-divide

Key

Vertical blue lines -- Our goals

Vertical black lines -- Their goals

Shaded green -- Powerplays

Shaded red -- Penalty kills

Bw_chart_wpg_mtl_2-5-12_medium

  • ...well now, what the eff is this?
  • No really...<looks back at graph>...what is this?
  • To think, we had some down moments, but played fairly equal at evens and actually generated some opportunities on the PP - wow. A primary example why the "eye test" can be deceiving.
  • The Alexei Emelin goal looks even more inexplicable when you see it amidst a positive flurry for us...although recalling the fact that the goal largely came from an ill-timed pinch by Dustin Byfuglien...
  • I am so conflicted about Bustin'...he's what some people call a "high-event" player, creating opportunities as much as he gives them up, but I'm utterly convinced that his shot is creating additional rebounds that builds up his Corsi data. And I'm confused about how to reconcile that with his noticeable errors on D. I'm not convinced it's a good thing to build around, but I can't back that up with anything concrete.

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The cold, hard reality

…of being an unlucky (or potentially below-average shooting-wise) team. The trend is for a team like ours to do better than we are, but that doesn’t mean it has to happen.

"You can't polish a turd." -- George Carlin

Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 7, 2012 11:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Missed shots a big part of the story. Jets 19, Habs 4

Corsi

by Alex Hemsky on Feb 7, 2012 1:42 PM EST reply actions  

From my calculations

We are 3rd in the league in misses-per-away-game (behind Boston and Ottawa). That certainly doesn’t help our results.

"You can't polish a turd." -- George Carlin

Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 7, 2012 2:46 PM EST up reply actions  

6th in the league in misses-per-away-game at home

Though we slightly lean towards overreporting misses in home games.

"You can't polish a turd." -- George Carlin

Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 7, 2012 2:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Uh, that should read "misses-per-home-game"

D’oh.

"You can't polish a turd." -- George Carlin

Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 7, 2012 2:49 PM EST up reply actions  

You got me thinking about this now

I’ll put some stats for missed shots in a fanpost. I cookie for you if you guess who’s the worst. (Hint: It’s not who you think).

by Alex Hemsky on Feb 7, 2012 3:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Andrew Ladd

You thought I was going to say Byfuglien…promise I didn’t look. It’ll still look suspicious if I got it right.

"You can't polish a turd." -- George Carlin

Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey

by Bettman's Nightmare on Feb 7, 2012 9:12 PM EST up reply actions  

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