Blackhawks-Flyers Game 1 Shots

Scott Reynolds has some superb analysis of game 1 scoring chances.  I thought I'd look at some of the various metrics we could use to evaluate the game:

 

CHI EV PHI EV CHI PP PHI PP CHI SH PHI SH PCT
Shots 38 33 0 11 1 0 47.0
Distance 35.0 30.7 N/A 31.8 14.0 N/A
Close Shots 10 15 0 4 1 0 36.7
Chances 12 12 0 8 1 0 39.4
Lead CHI/-1 PHI/+1 CHI/0 PHI/0 CHI/+1 PHI/-1
Shots 6 2 25 25 8 17

 

A mere counting of the shots shows some of what happened in the game - Philadelphia got a lot of shots off on the PP, while Chicago accomplished nothing - but the even-strength shots and shots with the score tied tell somewhat of a distorted story.  Philadelphia's EV shots were significantly closer to the net - both by distance, and by total.  So 'close shots' - below the face-off circles and between the dots - were significantly in Philly's favor, along with overall recorded scoring chances.

This was Philadelphia's game to win.  Chicago failed to control puck possession and Antti Niemi had a disaster of a game.  Unfortunately, Michael Leighton played like the guy who brought a .902 career save percentage into the playoffs.  Chicago has shown the ability to dominate teams of Philly's caliber - the Flyers had better hope it doesn't start in game 2.

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