Thanksgiving Day Chart

by Hawerchuk on Nov 26, 2009 12:57 PM EST in Zzz...Real Life

From the turkey's perspective, this was unexpected. Sometimes you just can't use past observed data - even a lot of it - to project future events:

I obviously can't take credit for this brilliant chart: the idea comes from Nicholas Nassim Taleb's brilliant book, The Black Swan. Taleb himself got the idea from Bertrand Russell's analysis of a chicken.

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But what happens when you regress the happiness to the mean?

Devils in my heart! Devils in my mind! Devils in my eyes! Devils until I die!
In Lou We Trust - The Devils SBN Blog

by John Fischer on Nov 26, 2009 1:23 PM EST reply actions

I’m not sure what the mean for all turkeys is.

by Hawerchuk on Nov 26, 2009 3:02 PM EST up reply actions

And what is it that you’re implying …. That turkeys increase their happiness each day they live longer? It looks like 50 “happy points” per about 5 months.

by Jackson7 on Nov 26, 2009 2:50 PM EST reply actions