Author: GrantJenkins

Power Play Save Percentage

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 39 min read |

I expanded my look at save percentages to power play data. Once again I calculated logits from the save percentages. I removed goalies with logits tha...

Penalty Kill Save Percentage

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 12 min read |

I expanded my look at save percentages to penalty kill data. Once again I calculated logits from the save percentages. I removed goalies with logits t...

Beating Save Percentage to Death: The Theory Of Everything

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 82 min read |

The Big TOE. The big fella, the Lizard King. Godzilla. Goalie matters. Hasek was better than Fuhr. Who knew? However, it looks like goalie matters in ...

Simulating Rink Bias

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 3 min read |

  I ran some simulations to see if rink bias really matters. It does not seem to make much difference. Baseline Model Typical goalie with a save perc...

Beating save percentage to death: Teams

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 11 min read |

  I used my Even Strength Save Data to look at the effect of Teams. There is not much there.   Using the dense data, I constructed the logits (ln(p/...

Beating save percentage to death: Logistic Regression.

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 2 min read |

I reran my Even Strength Save Data using logistic regression. The results again show a significant difference between goalies. First, I converted the ...

Beating save percentage to death: Simulation

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 11 min read |

Using a psuedo-random number generator, I simulated up to 5 seasons of goalie save data. Results after the jump. Each season has 30 goalies. In the fi...

Beating Save Percentage to Death Part 3: Goaltenders

By GrantJenkins | Feb 16th 2019 | 5 min read |

Goalie differences Do goalies differ? As a fan of the Quebec Nordiques, my answer is an emphatic “Yes!” I would bet fans of the pre-lockou...