Fenwick Timeline for Jets vs. Penguins Game, Article-Style
by Bettman's Nightmare on Dec 24, 2011 12:51 PM EST
in Analysis
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PrintPer request, I'm making this into an article. Basically, I was initially looking for a shot breakdown period-by-period for last night's game, but even that wasn't showing me numbers that made sense, so I decided to take the NHL.com play-by-play for the game and chart the shots and missed shots for both teams (aka Fenwick) to see if I was right in saying we played a pretty solid game until the 3rd period.
I included shots at all strengths, and all score situations, to get a better sense of the game as a whole. You start to slip or gain advantage in a game because of those nuances, so I felt this would be a pretty good indicator of the highs and lows of the singular game. If we want to start talking about overall talent of the team, I think that's when you should start worrying about score effects and even-strength data. In article form, I can just give you the full chart and tell you when the powerplays and penalty kills were.
Chart and info after the jump.
As you can see, I have the full Fenwick score on the y, and the time (in minutes) on the x. The vertical lines indicate goals, and the 20 and 40 minute marks obviously indicate the period breaks. This time around I did the data minute-by-minute, but next time I'll go second-by-second. Important additional events (all from WPG perspective) for context:
- Powerplays: 1st Period: 7:16-9:16 (5v4) 2nd Period: 12:48-14:48 (5v4) 3rd Period: 18:23-end (5v4)
- Penalty Kills: 1st Period: 3:32-5:32 (4v5) 2nd Period: 16:58-18:58 (4v5) 3rd Period: 2:55-4:14 (4v5), 13:42-15:42 (4v5)
As you can see, the 1st period flurries really show up, then the Pens pull even and it was pretty back-and-forth until that 3rd period, when things really went to hell. Anyway, I just wanted to try out something to depict the progression of the game, and it turned out pretty nifty, so here it is. I should be able to do this fairly regularly...it's nice to see the game I was seeing show up in these data, and I think it will be interesting to see things like score effects and 5v3's or 3v5's charted out, too. Enjoy.
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I did something similar once. I like your idea of inserting game events (goals, maybe penalties) — I understand your concern about making the chart too busy, but I think it’ll work if you use thinner lines or lighter colors so they don’t draw quite so much visual attention.
@BSH_EricT
Writer at Broad Street Hockey
I'll give it a whirl next time
I was thinking about maybe shading in red the penalty kill sections and in green the powerplay sections.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Dec 24, 2011 2:18 PM EST up reply actions
wow this is cool
agreed on the “nice to see the game I saw jive with what the stats say” note. Well, not nice in terms of how the game ended up, but you know.
I write everywhere. You're probably better off following me on twitter
Interesting way of looking at it
5vs5 it was just about even. The difference was pp & pk. Missed shots also a big impact.
It’s funny how that first 5 minutes of the 3rd is where most of the goals came. I think it lends itself to making all kinds of lazy conclusions.
It’s where the jets where outplayed the worst but it’s also where they simply got unlucky.
Conversely
We could have been just as successful in the first 10 minutes of the game, we just didn’t get the puck in (or even on) net.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Dec 24, 2011 3:34 PM EST up reply actions
This is great Ben. I was at the game last night and we were talking about the same thing. I made a note to track down the corsi events by period before I got too juiced to remember. Your version is a hundred times better than the half-assed effort I was going to put up. Great job!
Ryan Popilchak
Matchsticks & Gasoline, Artic Ice Hockey, &Hockey Prospectus. My twitter handle is @sprtopinionated
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