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Much has been made of the difference in the Jets' play at home and on the road: as of Saturday, at home, they're on a 111-point pace; on the road, just 63 points. Where does this rank since the lockout?
Team | Year | Delta | Team | Year | Delta |
Detroit | 2011 | 66.5 | Minnesota | 2006 | 44.0 |
Calgary | 2006 | 56.0 | Washington | 2011 | 43.7 |
St. Louis | 2011 | 50.8 | Anaheim | 2009 | 42.0 |
Calgary | 2005 | 50.0 | NY Islanders | 2009 | 42.0 |
Florida | 2005 | 50.0 | Vancouver | 2005 | 40.0 |
Winnipeg | 2011 | 48.1 | Montreal | 2006 | 40.0 |
Minnesota | 2009 | 48.0 | Toronto | 2005 | 40.0 |
Nashville | 2005 | 48.0 | Detroit | 2006 | 38.0 |
Vancouver | 2009 | 46.0 | Columbus | 2009 | 38.0 |
Chicago | 2011 | 45.6 | San Jose | 2008 | 38.0 |
For the moment, 6th overall - though a playoff berth depends on them improving their road record and narrowing this gap. Detroit will finish #1 overall regardless of how their season pans out.
The big question, though, is whether there's anything meaningful in these outcomes. It's hard to say - the year-over-year correlation is -0.12 - tiny, but negative. At the same time, home-ice advantage is worth four points more per season in the Western Conference than it is in the East due to the increased travel distances in the empty parts of the continent. The rink itself is unlikely to play much of a role - Philadelphia and Boston have the smallest home-ice edge, with MSG 27th and Toronto 25th, while Columbus and Florida are 6th an 7th overall.
Bottom line: we're going to need a few more years before we can tell if this means anything.