The CHL season is at its mid-point, lets take a look at how the Jets’ prospects have done over the last two quarter seasons.
2010 5th Round: Yasin Cisse: 4GP, 3G 1A, 4 PTS, +0, 4 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2012-2013 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| proj | 34gp | 26 | 9 | 35 |
After not getting the development experience he had hoped for in the NCAA – predominately due to missing games with injury – Cisse has left school and joined the Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, becoming the Jets’ very first QMJHL prospect. While having a point-per-a-game in the highest scoring league on the second highest scoring team as an over-ager may not be something to sing praises over, Cisse has been getting the top minutes needed to put him back on towards improving himself. He may bust, but this opportunity may be what’s needed for getting him ready for tryouts with the IceCaps next season.
2011 1st Round: Mark Scheifele: 29GP, 21G 27A, 48 PTS, +17, 13 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2010-11 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.80 | 1.14 |
| 2011-12 | 1 | 0.49 | 0.85 | 1.34 |
| 2012-13 | 2 | 0.72 | 0.93 | 1.65 |
| projected | 64gp | 46 | 46 | 105.6 |
Something interesting has happened to our Mark. Last year, Scheifele’s main role was to set-up Mr. Pearson and Mr. Telegin. While neither one of the three carried the others – as shown by our very own Daniel – there is something about roles that affects how players react. Thirteen games ago, Zach Hall was pushed up to the first line with Scheifele and Anthony Camara. In that time Hall scored 1G + 12A, and Scheifele scored 9G + 11A. It is possible that Scheifele has increased pressure on himself to score more, while discovering that he has quite an underrated wrist shot. This is a good sign for Jets fans, showing that Mark is continuously rounding out his game. Oh ya… that and Scheifele has been placed on the top line with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Jonathan Huberdeau for Team Canada.
2011 3rd Round: Adam Lowry: 38GP, 23G 23A, 46 PTS, +0, 56 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2010-11 | 0 | 0.27 | 0.41 | 0.68 |
| 2011-12 | 1 | 0.33 | 0.69 | 1.03 |
| 2012-13 | 2 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 1.21 |
| projected | 72gp | 44 | 44 | 88 |
Last quarterly review, you will recall a prediction of Lowry pushing up towards ~1.3 pts/gp. Yup. Lowry’s skating has noticeably improved from last season, which in an interview he attested to being restricted to mostly lower body workouts during his wrist injury recovery. He has become an above-average penalty killer, causing many rushes to the other net and even recently drew two penalty shots, scoring in both!
2011 4th Round: Zach Yuen: 35GP, 3G 14A, 17 PTS, -6, 30 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2010-11 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| 2011-12 | 1 | 0.18 | 0.39 | 0.58 |
| 2012-13 | 2 | 0.09 | 0.40 | 0.49 |
| projected | 72gp | 6 | 28 | 35 |
Yuen’s goal scoring from last report has picked up, barely, but his assist production has slowed down accordingly. It appears his point production is level, so this may be what we’re looking at. While not bad, it would have been nice for an increase to the ~0.6 pt/gp range as a 19 year old, approximately the same as Saint John’s IceCaps rookies Julian Melchiori and Ben Chiarot. Yuen will be battling that duo for a spot on the Winnipeg Jet’s 3rd pairing down the road. While being projected as a shutdown defender, fans must keep their expectations in check, as most effective defensive players score well in their junior years, as it shows ability to play the game with competency and an efficient manner *cough* Sutter *cough*. On the positive side his skating, positioning and defensive plays continue to impress in the games viewed by many.
2011 5th Round: Austen Brassard: 30GP, 7G 4A, 11 PTS, -6, 45 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2010-11 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.22 | 0.51 |
| 2011-12 | 1 | 0.42 | 0.38 | 0.80 |
| 2012-13 | 2 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.37 |
| projected | 64gp | 15 | 9 | 24 |
While Brassards assists have begun to increase to more expected levels, his goalscoring has begun to fall at a similar rate. Unlike Sutter, Brassard has been receiving top 6 minutes and powerplay time. for what it’s worth, Belleville is an extraordinarily defensive minded team. They have the leagues lowest goals for total and their top two point-getters are defensemen leading in points, four defensemen in their top eight for scoring, and they do not have a single forward with over 20 points. The fact that they are only one point behind the division leaders Oshawa Generals is a miracle (named Subban). It’s starting to look like Brassard may be looking at staying in Colorado next season, if that.
2012 2nd Round: Lukas Sutter: 35GP, 3G 6A, 9 PTS, -14, 94 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2011-12 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.84 |
| 2012-13 | 1 | 0.09 | 0.17 | 0.26 |
| projected | 72gp | 6 | 12 | 19 |
Well, some improvements from last time: first quarter 3pts, -12; second quarter 6pts, -2. Maybe if we’re lucky, he’ll score 12 points next quarter! The Saskatoon Blades have greatly improved their scoring since last quarter, so Sutter doesn’t have the same built in excuse that Brassard has. To be fair, Sutter is getting the Malholtra/Slater treatment from all appearances, with lots of tough defensive zone minutes and lots of penalty kill. The Blades seem to employ the Jets’ line matching style, sheltering a line with a young centre (data from eyetest and not #fancystats) while burying others. As a 19 year old who will be joining the 2010 draft class at the IceCaps tryouts, we have to hope that Sutter will pick up his scoring. Even bottom 6 players tend to put up some decent point totals in their last year of junior. Hopefully Sutter finds his offence in the latter half of the season.
2012 3rd Round: Scott Kosmachuk: 34GP, 18G, 18a, 36 PTS, +6, 53PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2011-12 | 0 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.88 |
| 2012-13 | 1 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.06 |
| projected | 68gp | 38 | 38 | 76 |
Look at Scheifele’s points, look at Lowry’s and look at Kosmachuk’s; see a patern? Kosmachuk continues to be a streaky and gritty player with dirty hands, a solid drive, and promise of potential top 6 support piece. He was demoted to the second line after a drought, but then exploded and earning himself both the OHL and CHL player of the week awards, after an outstanding weekend which included a newly appointed Kosmatrick (3G, 1A and 1 fight). He has since cooled off, but the future looks bright with this one. What else is there to say but… Kossy! Kossy! Kossy!
2012 6th Round: Ryan Olsen: 32GP, 16G, 11A, 26 PTS, +12, 56 PIM
| Year | RelDraft | G/GP | A/GP | Pts/GP |
| 2011-12 | 0 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.48 |
| 2012-13 | 1 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.84 |
| projected | 68gp | 34 | 24 | 58 |
The Olsen, Sutter comparison continues as Ryan’s point per game pace perfectly matches Sutter’s from last year. The surprising and exciting development of Olsen and Kosmachuk has softened the hurt following Sutter’s offensive lapse. Olsen has continue to improve this quarter, already surpassing last years goals total and he’s started getting some assists as well. Another nice note is his power-play to even-strength point ratio has decreased normalized a little. This shows that his scoring isn’t dependent on soft minutes.
After the halfway point of the season, here is the statistical breakdown for each prospect:
| Name | Team | GP | G | A | PTS | +/- | PIM | G/GP | A/GP | PTS/GP | PPG | PPA |
| Mark Scheifele | Barrie Colts, OHL | 29 | 21 | 21 | 42 | +17 | 13 | 0.72 | 0.72 | 1.45 | 8 | 9 |
| Adam Lowry | Swift Current, WHL | 38 | 23 | 23 | 46 | +0 | 56 | 0.61 | 0.61 | 1.21 | 9 | 9 |
| Scott Kosmachuk | Guelph Storm, OHL | 34 | 18 | 18 | 36 | +6 | 53 | 0.53 | 0.53 | 1.06 | 7 | 6 |
| Ryan Olsen | Kelowna Rockets, WHL | 32 | 16 | 11 | 27 | +12 | 56 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.84 | 8 | 5 |
| Zachary Yuen | Tri-City Americans, WHL | 35 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -6 | 30 | 0.09 | 0.40 | 0.49 | 1 | 8 |
| Austen Brassard | Belleville Bulls, OHL | 30 | 7 | 4 | 11 | -6 | 45 | 0.23 | 0.13 | 0.37 | 2 | 0 |
| Lukas Sutter | Saskatoon Blades, WHL | 35 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -14 | 94 | 0.17 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0 | 0 |
Questions to Ponder
- Relative to what you were expecting, who has impressed you the most so far?
- Relative to what you were expecting, who has disappointed you the most so far?
- Do you agree or disagree with any of my predictions?
- What changes would you predict from these young players?
What are your thoughts on the CHL season and our prospects? Let us know in the comments below!
Remember to follow us on Twitter for #jetsprospects updates!
| Option | Votes |
|---|---|
| Mark Scheifele | 11 |
| Jacob Trouba | 10 |
| Ivan Telegin | 3 |
| Paul Postma | 0 |
| Carl Klingberg | 1 |
| Patrice Cormier | 2 |
| Zach Redmond | 3 |
| Spencer Machacek | 0 |
| Lukas Sutter | 0 |
| Adam Lowry | 7 |
| Ed Pasquale | 1 |
| Julian Melchiori | 0 |
| Scott Kosmachuk | 2 |
| Zach Yuen | 0 |
