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Winnipeg Jets Prospect Tracker: Mark Scheifele still leads the pack

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Arctic Ice Hockey tracks the progress of Winnipeg Jets' prospects playing in the CHL: Mark Scheifele, Scott Kosmachuk, Adam Lowry, Austen Brassard, Zach Yuen, Yasin Cisse, Ryan Olsen and Lukas Sutter.

Claus Andersen

The CHL season is at its mid-point, lets take a look at how the Jets' prospects have done over the last two quarter seasons.

2010 5th Round: Yasin Cisse: 4GP, 3G 1A, 4 PTS, +0, 4 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2012-2013 3 0.75 0.25 1.00
proj 34gp 26 9 35

After not getting the development experience he had hoped for in the NCAA - predominately due to missing games with injury - Cisse has left school and joined the Blainville-Boisbriand Armada, becoming the Jets' very first QMJHL prospect. While having a point-per-a-game in the highest scoring league on the second highest scoring team as an over-ager may not be something to sing praises over, Cisse has been getting the top minutes needed to put him back on towards improving himself. He may bust, but this opportunity may be what's needed for getting him ready for tryouts with the IceCaps next season.

2011 1st Round: Mark Scheifele: 29GP, 21G 27A, 48 PTS, +17, 13 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2010-11 0 0.33 0.80 1.14
2011-12 1 0.49 0.85 1.34
2012-13 2 0.72 0.93 1.65
projected 64gp 46 46 105.6

Something interesting has happened to our Mark. Last year, Scheifele's main role was to set-up Mr. Pearson and Mr. Telegin. While neither one of the three carried the others - as shown by our very own Daniel - there is something about roles that affects how players react. Thirteen games ago, Zach Hall was pushed up to the first line with Scheifele and Anthony Camara. In that time Hall scored 1G + 12A, and Scheifele scored 9G + 11A. It is possible that Scheifele has increased pressure on himself to score more, while discovering that he has quite an underrated wrist shot. This is a good sign for Jets fans, showing that Mark is continuously rounding out his game. Oh ya... that and Scheifele has been placed on the top line with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Jonathan Huberdeau for Team Canada.

2011 3rd Round: Adam Lowry: 38GP, 23G 23A, 46 PTS, +0, 56 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2010-11 0 0.27 0.41 0.68
2011-12 1 0.33 0.69 1.03
2012-13 2 0.61 0.61 1.21
projected 72gp 44 44 88

Last quarterly review, you will recall a prediction of Lowry pushing up towards ~1.3 pts/gp. Yup. Lowry's skating has noticeably improved from last season, which in an interview he attested to being restricted to mostly lower body workouts during his wrist injury recovery. He has become an above-average penalty killer, causing many rushes to the other net and even recently drew two penalty shots, scoring in both!

2011 4th Round: Zach Yuen: 35GP, 3G 14A, 17 PTS, -6, 30 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2010-11 0 0.11 0.33 0.44
2011-12 1 0.18 0.39 0.58
2012-13 2 0.09 0.40 0.49
projected 72gp 6 28 35

Yuen's goal scoring from last report has picked up, barely, but his assist production has slowed down accordingly. It appears his point production is level, so this may be what we're looking at. While not bad, it would have been nice for an increase to the ~0.6 pt/gp range as a 19 year old, approximately the same as Saint John's IceCaps rookies Julian Melchiori and Ben Chiarot. Yuen will be battling that duo for a spot on the Winnipeg Jet's 3rd pairing down the road. While being projected as a shutdown defender, fans must keep their expectations in check, as most effective defensive players score well in their junior years, as it shows ability to play the game with competency and an efficient manner *cough* Sutter *cough*. On the positive side his skating, positioning and defensive plays continue to impress in the games viewed by many.

2011 5th Round: Austen Brassard: 30GP, 7G 4A, 11 PTS, -6, 45 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2010-11 0 0.28 0.22 0.51
2011-12 1 0.42 0.38 0.80
2012-13 2 0.23 0.13 0.37
projected 64gp 15 9 24

While Brassards assists have begun to increase to more expected levels, his goalscoring has begun to fall at a similar rate. Unlike Sutter, Brassard has been receiving top 6 minutes and powerplay time. for what it's worth, Belleville is an extraordinarily defensive minded team. They have the leagues lowest goals for total and their top two point-getters are defensemen leading in points, four defensemen in their top eight for scoring, and they do not have a single forward with over 20 points. The fact that they are only one point behind the division leaders Oshawa Generals is a miracle (named Subban). It's starting to look like Brassard may be looking at staying in Colorado next season, if that.

2012 2nd Round: Lukas Sutter: 35GP, 3G 6A, 9 PTS, -14, 94 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2011-12 0 0.40 0.44 0.84
2012-13 1 0.09 0.17 0.26
projected 72gp 6 12 19

Well, some improvements from last time: first quarter 3pts, -12; second quarter 6pts, -2. Maybe if we're lucky, he'll score 12 points next quarter! The Saskatoon Blades have greatly improved their scoring since last quarter, so Sutter doesn't have the same built in excuse that Brassard has. To be fair, Sutter is getting the Malholtra/Slater treatment from all appearances, with lots of tough defensive zone minutes and lots of penalty kill. The Blades seem to employ the Jets' line matching style, sheltering a line with a young centre (data from eyetest and not #fancystats) while burying others. As a 19 year old who will be joining the 2010 draft class at the IceCaps tryouts, we have to hope that Sutter will pick up his scoring. Even bottom 6 players tend to put up some decent point totals in their last year of junior. Hopefully Sutter finds his offence in the latter half of the season.

2012 3rd Round: Scott Kosmachuk: 34GP, 18G, 18a, 36 PTS, +6, 53PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2011-12 0 0.45 0.43 0.88
2012-13 1 0.53 0.53 1.06
projected 68gp 38 38 76

Look at Scheifele's points, look at Lowry's and look at Kosmachuk's; see a patern? Kosmachuk continues to be a streaky and gritty player with dirty hands, a solid drive, and promise of potential top 6 support piece. He was demoted to the second line after a drought, but then exploded and earning himself both the OHL and CHL player of the week awards, after an outstanding weekend which included a newly appointed Kosmatrick (3G, 1A and 1 fight). He has since cooled off, but the future looks bright with this one. What else is there to say but... Kossy! Kossy! Kossy!

2012 6th Round: Ryan Olsen: 32GP, 16G, 11A, 26 PTS, +12, 56 PIM

Year RelDraft G/GP A/GP Pts/GP
2011-12 0 0.22 0.25 0.48
2012-13 1 0.50 0.34 0.84
projected 68gp 34 24 58

The Olsen, Sutter comparison continues as Ryan's point per game pace perfectly matches Sutter's from last year. The surprising and exciting development of Olsen and Kosmachuk has softened the hurt following Sutter's offensive lapse. Olsen has continue to improve this quarter, already surpassing last years goals total and he's started getting some assists as well. Another nice note is his power-play to even-strength point ratio has decreased normalized a little. This shows that his scoring isn't dependent on soft minutes.

After the halfway point of the season, here is the statistical breakdown for each prospect:

Mark Scheifele Barrie Colts, OHL 29 21 21 42 +17 13 0.72 0.72 1.45 8 9
Adam Lowry Swift Current, WHL 38 23 23 46 +0 56 0.61 0.61 1.21 9 9
Scott Kosmachuk Guelph Storm, OHL 34 18 18 36 +6 53 0.53 0.53 1.06 7 6
Ryan Olsen Kelowna Rockets, WHL 32 16 11 27 +12 56 0.50 0.34 0.84 8 5
Zachary Yuen Tri-City Americans, WHL 35 3 14 17 -6 30 0.09 0.40 0.49 1 8
Austen Brassard Belleville Bulls, OHL 30 7 4 11 -6 45 0.23 0.13 0.37 2 0
Lukas Sutter Saskatoon Blades, WHL 35 3 6 9 -14 94 0.17 0.26 0.26 0 0

Questions to Ponder

  • Relative to what you were expecting, who has impressed you the most so far?
  • Relative to what you were expecting, who has disappointed you the most so far?
  • Do you agree or disagree with any of my predictions?
  • What changes would you predict from these young players?

What are your thoughts on the CHL season and our prospects? Let us know in the comments below!

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