I put together a massive undocumented stats sheet that, if you go through the pain of figuring it out before I document it, will let you look at individual and on-ice shooting and shot quality. One simple but interesting result at 5-on-5:
Stdev | Stdev | ||
Observed | Shot Quality | % Shot Quality | |
On-Ice Shot% | 0.789 | 0.267 | 11.4 |
On-Ice Save% | 0.607 | 0.201 | 10.9 |
PDO | 0.898 | 0.307 | 11.7 |
That jives with previous estimates of the impact of shot quality. But don't take my word for it – you have all the data you need to prove it and to figure out, at the margins, where shot quality matters. I hope we can move on to the other 89% of what drives goal-scoring and goal-prevention.