People were betting on four outcomes yesterday: 1) USA over Switzerland handily; 2) Canada to beat Russia in a tight game; 3) Czechs over Finland in a tight game; and 4) Sweden over Slovakia. The pre-game odds:
| Round | Favorite | Win % | Underdog |
| QF | CAN | 54 | RUS |
| QF | SWE | 63 | SVK |
| QF | CZE | 56 | FIN |
| QF | USA | 83 | SUI |
But the vagaries of one-game series gave us:
1) A one-goal USA win over Switzerland after two tied periods
2) A Canadian blowout of the Russians
3) The Finns squeaking by the Czechs
4) The Slovaks upsetting the Swedes
Which makes a Canada-USA final all the more likely. Working from Gold medal odds and a couple of money lines for individual games, here are the odds for all possible games going forward:
| CAN | 85% | SVK |
| USA | 60% | FIN |
| CAN | 70% | USA |
| CAN | 75% | FIN |
| USA | 70% | SVK |
| FIN | 55% | SVK |
This gives us the following odds for the final placements:
| CAN | USA | FIN | SVK | |
| Gold | 62% | 21% | 12% | 5% |
| Silver | 24% | 39% | 28% | 10% |
| Bronze | 11% | 26% | 30% | 33% |
| Sadness | 4% | 14% | 30% | 52% |
Even if the bookies are still hedging against a Canadian win, Jamie Langenbrunner has reason to look worried.
