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New Puck Prospectus post: Pulling the Goalie

"at the end of the game, there is no value to having played it safe and having lost by only one goal. In the last two minutes of regulation time, scoring rates increase dramatically as the team that's down a goal pulls its goaltender for an extra attacker. We can see that the boldest teams pull their goalie with about 90 seconds to go in the game, and at around 40 seconds to go, the goaltender is almost certainly on the bench."

http://www.puckprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=232