Tag: fenwick

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Shot Quality, Once Again, Doesn't Prove to Be A Major Factor

A lot of dedicated, admirable people gave their time for recording scoring chances over the last few years, so it's tough for me to see these results on one hand. On the other, it reiterates previous studies that have suggested that the "shot quality" argument has no legs. Great work from Eric T., and more importantly great work from all those scoring chance counters. We couldn't have done this without you.

An Expected Goals Model for Evaluating NHL Teams and Players

Some really interesting work from Brian Macdonald, providing some adjustments to Corsi and Fenwick to create an expected goals model (which will help adjust plus-minus). Tasty tidbit: hits are significant statistics, in that a low number of hits by your team, and a high number of hits against your team, "are good predictors of goals."

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