expected goals

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An Expected Goals Model for Evaluating NHL Teams and Players

posted by Bettman's Nightmare, Mar 04, 2012

Some really interesting work from Brian Macdonald, providing some adjustments to Corsi and Fenwick to create an expected goals model (which will help adjust plus-minus). Tasty tidbit: hits are significant statistics, in that a low number of hits by your team, and a high number of hits against your team, "are good predictors of goals."

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