Pilots Logbook 2013-14: Olli Jokinen

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

The Winnipeg Jets 2013-14 season has been laid to rest. This series will take an in-depth look how the team and its players have performed, and some decisions that could push the Jets forward in the future.

In the context of the Winnipeg Jets Olli Jokinen is a very interesting player. His usage is another interesting tale all to itself. Jokinen has historically struggled with two way hockey. For years he was a scorer and a powerplay specialist. That wasn't really the case this year.

The Basics

GP G A P TOI/60 S/60 Sh% PenD
82 18 25 43 16.7 7.4 10.5 -16

Numbers are for all minutes.

Eighty two games. Olli was one of only four Jets that played the full compliment of games this season. Forty three points is a huge improvement over a year ago. Jokinen saw ice time on merit this year. The penalty differential differential is kind of yucky - second worst on the team.

Usage

Screen_shot_2014-06-04_at_4.09.02_am_medium

Player usage chart from extraskater.com.

EV Percentage of Team's Available TOI 5 on 5
ZS% ZS%rel EVTOI% PPTOI% SHTOI% QoC TOI% QoT TOI%
45.70 -8.50 29.10 35.20 8.70 28.7 29.7
14th 14th 5th 6th 9th 6th 8th

Rankings are given for team out of 15 forwards to play 20 or more games.

Fourteenth out of fifteen? Jokinen - who throughout his career has previously been used primarily as an offensive / powerplay specialist - was given some of the hardest zone starts on the team. That is a little bit weird. Joker was consistently used on PP2 and towards the end of the season he was given some PK time. Is he suited to be a third line centre?

Underlying Numbers

Jokinencorsi_medium

The y-axis is given to show the typical 40-60 sustainable spread seen for NHL calibre players. Players are compared to particular line/pair depending on 5v5 TOI per game. Population mean (average), median (50th percentile), and other percentiles are relative to player performance between 2007-12.

5v5 TOI Corsi% relCorsi% dCF/20 dCA/20 dCorsi%
14:42 49.2 -1.1 +0.680 +0.877 -0.244%

RelCorsi is team's percentage of shot attempts with player on ice minus shot attempts with player off ice. Delta Corsi values are team's shot attempt rates with player on ice, but relative to league norm given similar usage (quality of teammates, quality opponents, zone starts, and TOI). dCF/20 is shot attempts for -where a positive number is above average-, dCA/20 is shot attempts against -where a negative number is above average-, and dCorsi% is percentage of shot attempts.

Jokinen logged a good share of the Winnipeg Jets five on five ice time and truth be told his possession numbers weren't terrible. A Corsi percentage of 49.2% isn't bad given his defensive zone deployment and the dCorsi shot creation numbers landed in the plus. It is important to note that the above chart treats Jokinen like a first liner due to some odd usage by Jets' coaches. The fourth line got next to no ice, so the top nine had to pick up the slack.

Conclusion

The numbers say, Joker was a sub par top six forward (as should be expected) and a simply average third liner. Given his salary, this average can be problematic.

Keep or lose?

This is a tough one. Jokinen isn't hurting the team as a third line forward, but he doesn't offer much upside either. Will he return to the team for cheap? Would his return block the progress of a prospect? Best guess says the Joker and the team part ways, but it is worth noting that he is one of the few Jets who has stuck around through the offseason. Perhaps he likes it here.

Bonus:

Jokinen_medium

All numbers are from Extra Skater, Behind the Net and Hockey Analysis

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