FanPost

Defining the performance of NHL forwards: Jet Forwards (part 2)



So in Part 1, I looked tried to define 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th line players and separate them based on performance.

In part 2, I will use that information to compare the average 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 4th liners to the Winnipeg forwards.

First, lets re-paste the two tables for reference.

Forward Lines players avg GP TOI/60 even strength Max minutes Min minutes Rel Corsi / 60 min Corsi On / 60 min Rel Corsi QOC Corsi QOC On ice SH % On ice SV% PDO GF/60 Rel GF/60 GA/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is a good thing) GD/60 Rel GD/60 O zone start %
1st 510 71.34705882 14.42380273 17.8 13.47 5.767022163 4.293413632 0.535742239 0.313444026 9.373055228 0.911114939 1004.845491 2.936672512 0.753002461 2.611887141 0.313913379 0.324785371 0.439089082 52.65371134
2nd 543 67.01657459 12.83452982 13.47 12.19 1.930067594 1.396441857 0.5134547 0.294733197 8.41610905 0.915702069 999.8631592 2.52384902 0.154145804 2.467837711 0.093307059 0.056011309 0.060838745 49.90640494
3rd 687 52.92430859 11.3541115 12.19 10.36 -1.195302872 -1.123923901 0.311433374 0.131443054 7.749786884 0.918505992 996.0038608 2.215858792 -0.241978539 2.354658814 -0.087945411 -0.138800023 -0.154033128 48.87820797
4th 1145 31.79475983 8.468449938 10.36 1.92 -6.285112749 -5.223100963 -0.31251398 -0.398100197 6.571980541 0.922047785 987.7675905 1.716349126 -0.843968026 2.213212638 -0.248258453 -0.496863513 -0.595709573 49.52742407

Forward Lines Group players avg GP TOI/60 even strength Rel Corsi / 60 min Corsi On / 60 min Rel Corsi QOC Corsi QOC On ice SH % On ice SV% PDO GF/60 Rel GF/60 GA/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is a good thing) GD/60 Rel GD/60 O zone start %
1st line 1 123 73.64227642 14.55834732 14.00552116 11.51982783 0.403332262 0.148170037 9.440397686 0.912236781 1006.640757 3.167676895 1.023903526 2.450149394 0.201800504 0.717527501 0.822103021 54.39302672
1st line 2 127 71.88976378 14.39018401 8.123255645 5.380580914 0.513694515 0.36709378 9.352200657 0.91046849 1003.990497 2.957474206 0.799516978 2.588018272 0.226354391 0.369455935 0.573162587 52.80560894
1st line 3 125 72.856 14.3735017 3.735361432 2.710360712 0.558863804 0.298087236 9.328432954 0.910216771 1003.5011 2.872127529 0.656458504 2.669070954 0.395476273 0.203056574 0.260982231 52.52868956
1st line 4 135 67.34814815 14.37390453 -2.879793406 -2.505685353 0.66835565 0.441659488 9.370763799 0.911532463 1005.240101 2.747316232 0.529590002 2.741806908 0.433369584 0.005509324 0.096220418 50.8711845
0
2nd line 1 148 61.63513514 12.94308485 11.20425194 8.194405005 0.390037355 0.120941038 8.422856946 0.914096683 998.3252528 2.69898012 0.387298743 2.400166279 -0.010852511 0.298813841 0.398151255 52.5307806
2nd line 2 125 72.904 12.8349369 4.610891792 2.691226245 0.473334758 0.381075736 8.593504619 0.912829011 998.7640575 2.592575303 0.268759882 2.521271788 0.170111455 0.071303515 0.098648427 50.48778765
2nd line 3 128 71 12.76299736 -0.269179047 0.550710842 0.524155335 0.269548043 8.50356674 0.915212667 1000.248334 2.54090607 0.14672876 2.506765231 0.125122927 0.034140839 0.021605833 50.15368975
2nd line 4 142 63.85211268 12.79660527 -8.01112173 -5.980831955 0.668789008 0.409717649 8.14298285 0.92072121 1002.151039 2.259305219 -0.191232384 2.443917708 0.090066891 -0.184612489 -0.281299275 46.40259795
0
3rd line 1 187 48.7540107 11.44255347 8.976978849 6.256481189 0.249561611 0.068897873 7.885147059 0.917239067 996.0905381 2.452412613 0.083732331 2.282170086 -0.256793956 0.170242527 0.340526286 51.70301264
3rd line 2 155 58.67096774 11.38535738 1.387519621 1.115945524 0.241085034 0.100136812 7.929812884 0.917628879 996.9270074 2.323195134 -0.114182337 2.375929172 -0.059924965 -0.052734038 -0.054257371 50.69426721
3rd line 3 161 56.29192547 11.25171135 -4.063266132 -2.968953631 0.3289061 0.116968862 7.700721975 0.919896293 996.9035126 2.139363404 -0.336484557 2.331176515 -0.104496018 -0.19181311 -0.231988539 48.21687828
3rd line 4 184 49.375 11.33623335 -11.2560518 -9.024753315 0.427528115 0.240601736 7.480271868 0.919294497 994.0972155 1.94407828 -0.606805086 2.429952205 0.071304719 -0.485873924 -0.678109805 44.84594056
0
4th line 1 351 25.87179487 8.932099989 4.978200805 3.821162662 -0.36135277 -0.400073262 6.565789328 0.919269507 984.9273998 1.910681967 -0.593944598 2.161445106 -0.324213114 -0.250763139 -0.269731484 52.52545935
4th line 2 216 42.06018519 8.6983082 -3.731591958 -3.5089156 -0.332940751 -0.40108995 6.683010259 0.924401854 991.2319568 1.779709565 -0.765781895 2.110747692 -0.362399777 -0.331038127 -0.403382118 49.86808879
4th line 3 230 39.60434783 8.449231529 -9.525694633 -8.430940689 -0.282488663 -0.346340444 6.711778693 0.922482591 989.6003781 1.683903069 -0.863225852 2.249102016 -0.224568738 -0.565198947 -0.638657113 48.38293581
4th line 4 348 26.23563218 7.79773713 -18.44883266 -13.96233976 -0.266656191 -0.448488867 6.304662352 0.922130098 985.1767218 1.4596871 -1.194793413 2.347129661 -0.060635182 -0.887442561 -1.134158232

46.97080685

So now let's go through some of the Jets forwards and see how they compare to the rest of the league. Quick reminder, these are even strength stats only. Also, because of the shortened season, the games played obviously will not match with the charts (which take averages from 82 game seasons).

Note: After each chart there will be two categories: Line and group. Line references which major group the player falls in based on minutes played (first chart). Group references what sub group the player falls in based on Relative Corsi (second chart)

We'll go alphabetically:

Aaron Gagnon

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season AARONGAGNON WPG C 10 7.39 1.9 0.81 0.401 -2.154 16.67 867 1033 4.06 0.81 3.25 0.42 3.25 2.83 0.81 0.39 35.6

Line: 4

Group: Between 1 and 2

Gagnon played fourth line minutes in his 10 games with the Jets. For a fourth liner he played very well. Facing tough competition ( Corsi Rel QoC of .4) and starting a lot of shifts in the defensive zone, Gagnon had a 1.9 Rel Corsi. His Goal Differential (GD) numbers were also very good, especially for a fourth liner.

As a fourth liner, Gagnon was very good for the Jets. He is a UFA this summer, but at the right price is an excellent option as a bottom 6 forward. Now of course this is a very small sample considering he played only about 74 minutes this season. However, a case could be made that the Jet's coaching staff could possibly increase Gagnon's minutes if the team chooses to resign him next year.

Alexander Burmistrov

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ALEXANDERBURMISTROV WPG C 44 13.08 6.5 3.44 0.043 0.052 6.43 933 997 1.67 -0.95 1.77 -1.26 2.62 3.03 -0.1 0.31 52

Line: 2

Group: between 1 and 2

Burmistrov's time may be running short in Winnipeg. Production wise, Burmistrov was not that impressive with only 4 goals and 10 points. And that was with very weak competition (.043 Rel Corsi QoC). However, Burmistrov is still only 21, and he had a strong Rel Corsi for a second liner. He also had a low on ice shooting percentage for a second line player , partially due to playing with weak teammates for much of the year (or so I have read on AIH) (I'm a Flyers fan), which should rise next year.

Given his low production, Burmistrov should come relatively cheap for such a talented player. That is only of course if Burmistrov wants to come back to Winnipeg.


Andrew Ladd

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ANDREWLADD WPG LW 48 15.11 9 5.21 1.173 0.919 11.41 906 1021 3.81 1.97 2.9 0.3 1.84 2.6 0.91 1.67 50

Line: 1

Group: 2

Andrew Ladd really took the next step production wise. In the shortened season, he went form a 50 point player to a ppg player for the Jets. Playing top line minutes, Ladd produced 18 goals and 46 points. But perhaps the most impressive thing is that he did this almost exclusively at even strength. He was almost a non factor on the power play (3 goals and 3 assists). Now you Jets fans would now more about this, but quick research shows the Jets were not the greatest power play team this year. It is scary to think what Ladd could accomplish if he was even remotely successful on the powerplay.

Ladd faced way tougher competition at even strength than most 1st liners with a Rel Corsi QoC of over 1. And still, he was able to produce points and accumulate a Rel Corsi of 9.

However, there is one major caveat to all the Ladd praise. His shooting percentages are most likely a bit unsustainable.

Ladd's personal SH% of 14.9% is way above his career average and is most likely going to decline next season. His on ice shooting percentage is also very high for first line players, and unfortunately for him will most likely go down.

However, an increase in powerplay production could combat these two probable declines and keep Ladd at a ppg pace even next season. Ladd also had very good GD numbers. Ladd's cap hit of 4.4 million for the next 3 years looks like a very good contract that locks up a very good player.

Anthony Peluso

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ANTHONYPELUSO WPG RW 5 4.8 36.8 29.98 -4.045 0.9 10 889 989 5 2.55 2.5 -0.22 2.45 2.72 2.5 2.77 70.6

Line:4

Group: 1

Being a Flyers fan, I don't know much about peluso. He clearly was a swing player for the Jets who didn't play much when with the big club. Looking at his AHL stats he seems to be a bit of a goon. However, in VERY VERY limited minutes he at least was able to help keep the play in the offensive zone. In all honesty, I can't pull anything form this data not having watched this guy play. He faced God-awful competition and was able to dominate it in the 20 or so minutes in the NHL.

I'll leave the rest of the analysis of this guy to the comment section.

Antti Miettnen

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ANTTIMIETTINEN WPG RW 22 12.05 -9.2 -9.05 0.421 0.457 9.24 905 998 2.49 0.52 3.39 0.85 1.97 2.54 -0.9 -0.33 54.7

Line: 3

Group: 4

Miettnen has fallen off quite a bit since 2010-2011. In his three seasons with the Wild, he was good for 15 goals and 40 points, as well as being a good possession player. However, since leaving the Wild his production has gone dramatically down and he went from being a good possession player to a very bad one.

This year, Miettnen was about -9 in both Rel corsi and Oc ice corsi. He did face tough competition for a 3rd line player

Miettnen was also a negative player in the Goal differential column.

Miettnen will be a UFA this summer, and other than for a cheap contract I don't see Miettnen as that valuable a piece to bring back.

Blake Wheeler

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season BLAKEWHEELER WPG RW 48 15.38 3.3 1.22 0.902 0.717 10.85 885 993 3.41 1.41 3.58 1.29 2 2.29 -0.17 0.12 49.2

Line: 1

Group: 3

Blake Wheeler is going to be a top priority for Jets management this offseason. With 19 goals and 41 points, Wheeler is going to command some serious money as a RFA.

Wheeler played 1st line minutes for the Jets this season. And while he was in the black for his Corsi stats, they aren't that impressive for a 1st liner. His Rel Corsi puts him slightly below the average for group 3 of line 1. He did face tough competition (Rel Corsi of .9).

His shooting percentages were high this year. His personal SH% of 14.7% is way above his career average, and is on ice shooting percentage of nearly 11% if way above the average for a 1st line player. Expect both those values to regress next season.

Wheeler is definitely a valuable player. However, he is not a dominant possession 1st line forward. Wheeler is definitely worth resigning, but of course that will depend on how much Wheeler commands as an RFA.

Bryan Little

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season BRYANLITTLE WPG C 48 15.26 0 -1.06 1.209 0.909 10.79 914 1022 3.36 1.33 2.7 0.01 2.03 2.69 0.66 1.32 44.7

Line: 1

Group: Between 3 and 4

Bryan Little is another top Jets forward who is an RFA this off season. He chipped in 7 goals and 32 points in the shortened season.

Little played against very tough competition (Rel Corsi QoC of 1.209) with 44.7% O-zone start%. This should definitely be taken into account, considering he has poor Corsi numbers for a 1st liner.

His Goal differential numbers are very good, especially his Rel GD60. As an RFA, he probably will command less money that his teamate Wheeler. Considering he plays tougher competition and has been a good puck possession player (excluding this year) for much of his career, I definitely think Little should be resigned.

Little's personal SH% was low for his career, and that will most likely go up towards his career average. However, his on ice shooting percentage will probably regress slightly.

Chris Thorburn

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season CHRISTHORBURN WPG C 42 6.02 -1.8 -2.85 -0.944 -1.381 5.1 895 946 1.19 -1.44 2.61 -0.16 2.63 2.77 -1.42 -1.28 44

Line:4

Group: 2

Being a Flyers fan, I don't know much about the Jets fourth liners, so I apologize if my analysis of guys like Thorburn is a bit incomplete.

Thorburn played fourth line minutes for the Jets against very weak competition. His Rel Corsi QoC of -.944 is way worse than the competition that the average fourth liner faces. However, Thorburn's Corsi stats were a good deal above average for fourth line players.

His Goal differential stats are particularly bad, which is troubling considering the competition he faced was pretty bad.

Eric Tangradi

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season ERICTANGRADI WPG C 41 9.91 1.8 0.89 -0.306 -0.954 5.26 938 991 1.33 -1.46 1.62 -1.35 2.79 2.97 -0.29 -0.11 49.5

Line: 4

Group: 1

Tangradi came over to the Jets from the Penguins. Playing high fourth line minutes, Tangredi accumulated a Corsi Rel of 1.8, good enough to put him in the top group among fourth liners. He faced slightly above average competition for a fourth liner.

Good news for Tangradi is that is very low shooting percentage stats should go up. I doubt he will shoot at 2.1% personally and I doubt his on ice shooting percentage will stay as low as 5% next season.

Tangradi is an RFA this offseason, and given his low production he should come very cheap. He is definitely worth having around as a young bottom 6 forward, given of course that he comes cheap. This is a guy who has shown decent offensive skills in the OHL and in the AHL, so he is definitely a guy worth keeping around in the bottom 6.

Evander Kane

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season EVANDERKANE WPG C 48 16.49 0.7 -0.61 0.349 0.474 9.21 903 996 2.73 0.43 2.96 0.4 2.3 2.56 -0.23 0.03 53.9

Line: 1

Group: between 3 and 4

Evander Kane is the rising star for the Jets. At the young age of 21, he already is a top line player. Production wise he took a small step back ppg wise and goals per game from the 2011-2012 season.

kane was not the strongest possession forward this season. With a Corsi Rel of .7, this puts him near the bottom when it comes to 1st line players. Kane also played against weaker competition than most 1st line players.

His Goal differential numbers need to be better considering he is a first line forward.

Overall, I think so far he's a bit overpaid (5.5 mill cap hit). However, he's only 21 so we should expect a decent amount of growth in the next few seasons.

He definitely needs to improve his possession metrics to justify his big contract.

James Wright

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season JAMESWRIGHT WPG C 38 10.07 -12.3 -11.28 -0.1 -1.182 8.82 891 980 1.88 -1.05 2.98 0.44 2.93 2.54 -1.1 -1.49 47.2

Line: 4

Group: 3

James Wright played a lot of minutes for a fourth line player He faced above average competition for a fourth liner, but his Rel Corsi was far below average for fourth line players. His Goal differential numbers were also pretty bad, even for a fourth liner.

Jim Slater

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season JIMSLATER WPG C 26 8.51 -10.4 -9.22 -0.63 -0.105 6.1 915 976 1.36 -1.24 2.17 -0.43 2.6 2.6 -0.81 -0.81 29.7

Line: 4

Group: 3

Slater chipped in only 1 goal and 1 assist this year. Facing below average competition, he posted a -10.4 Rel Corsi. He lines up pretty well in terms of Rel Corsi and Rel Corsi QoC into that third group of line 4.

One thing to note that contributed to his low Corsi stats is his ridiculously low O zone start % of 29.7%. That definitely lowered his Corsi stats significantly.

Slater's GD numbers are slightly below average for group 3 of line 4.

Slater may be a bit overpaid (1.6million cap hit), but its not that much money and shouldn't cause too much of a problem for the Jets.

Kyle Wellwood

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season KYLEWELLWOOD WPG C 39 12.01 3 2.05 0.149 -0.261 8.22 922 1005 2.31 -0.21 2.18 -0.46 2.52 2.64 0.13 0.25 48

Line: 3

Group: 2

Wellwood played very high minutes for a third line player (he almost qualified for 2nd line status). He was in the black for Rel Corsi (3).

His Rel Corsi QoC is below average for a 2nd/third line player.

After scoring 18 goals and 47 points in 2011-2012, Wellwood's production was disappointing with only 6 goals and 15 points. This should keep Wellwood's next contract a lot lower (he is a UFA this off season).

Mark Schiefle

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season MARKSCHEIFELE WPG C 4 10.58 -6.2 0 0.134 1.664 11.11 913 1024 2.83 2 2.83 -0.49 0.83 3.32 0 2.49 37.5

Line:3

Group: 3

A good article was written on Scheifele earlier this spring looking at Scheifele. Obviously being a #7 pick he's a big time prospect. He played 4 games in the NHL this season and did alright by my estimation.

A Corsi Rel of -6.2 obviously isn't great, but that should be expected from a young kid not yet ready for the NHL. He started a lot of shifts in the defensive zone, which generally is not the best tactic for a rookie still basically in the CHL. His competition (Rel Corsi QoC was weak for a third liner, but coaches often gives sheltered minutes to young players anyways so that's not much of a concern.

Obviously given the small sample size his time in Barrie is far more important than what he did with the Jets. He scored 39 goals and 79 points in 45 games with Barrie. He also was dominant in the playoffs, totaling 15 goals and 41 points in 26 games. The future looks bright for Scheifele, who will most likely be on the Jets roster on opening day next season.

Michael Santorelli

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season MICHAELSANTORELLI WPG C 34 11.48 2.5 1.23 -0.038 -0.236 3.73 905 942 0.92 -1.71 2.77 0 2.63 2.77 -1.85 -1.71 52.6

Line: 3

Group: 2

Santorelli was claimed of waivers from Florida in April. This is a guy who just a few years goal scored 20 goals. However, since that season he has not done much in terms of production. Playing in 10 games for the Jets he registered only 1 assist.

In Santorelli's time in both Florida and Winnipeg, he played average 3rd line minutes. He registered a solid 2.5 Rel Corsi, but he played weak competition (rel Corsi QoC of -.038). Santorelli was very unlucky this year, sporting a on ice shooting percentage of 3.75%. That will surely rise significantly for next year.

Santorelli's goal differential numbers were pretty horrific.

Santorelli is a UFA this summer, but will not command much on the open market. If the Jets still believe he has that 20 goal scorer somewhere in him, then they would be wise to resign him. If not, they won't be losing that much value.

Nik Antropov

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season NIKANTROPOV WPG LW 40 13.54 -4.6 -5.76 0.602 1.074 8.56 946 1031 2.44 0.32 1.66 -1.49 2.12 3.15 0.78 1.81 55.9

Line: 1

Group: 4

Nik Antropov actually just barely played 1st line even strength minutes. At 33, his career is definitely on the downswing. He registered just 6 goals and 18 points in 40 games this season.

He registered a rel Corsi of -4.6, which is very bad for someone with that many even strenght minutes per game. He did face above average competition for a 1st liner, though not really hard enough competition to justify his poor Rel Corsi rating.

He was a bit unlucky with a personal SH% of only 10.7% (way below his career average). While his SH% will go down a bit as Antropov ages, we should expect that number to rise just a bit next season.

Antropov's GD numbers are pretty good, which is a good sign.

Antropov is a UFA this offseason, and I suspect that he will be asking for a bit more than he is actually worth. Personally, I wouldn't pay too much for an aging player like Antropov in free agency.

Olli Jokinen

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season OLLIJOKINEN WPG C 45 14.28 -2.9 -2.15 -0.064 0.156 5.84 881 939 1.68 -1.08 3.73 1.5 2.76 2.23 -2.05 -2.58 52.5

Line: 1

Group: 4

The Jets certainly didn't get what they paid for when they signed Olli Jokinen. With a cap hit of over 4 million, the aging star put up only 7 goals and 14 points. Advanced metrics don't paint a rosier picture. He finished with a Rel Cori of nearly -3, which puts him in the bottom quarter of 1st line forwards.

He did this while facing very easy competition.

Now Jokinen was a bit unlucky with the low on ice shooting percentage and on ice save percentage, but he still was not a very good performer for the Jets this season. His Goal differential numbers are just downright awful.

Unless Jokinen puts together a bounceback year next year, this deal will have turned out very bad for the Jets.

Patrice Cormier

SEASON NAME TEAM POS GP TOI/60 Corsi Relative Corsi On Corsi Rel QoC Corsi QoC On-Ice Sh% On-Ice Sv% PDO GF On/60 Rel GF/60 GA On/60 Rel GA/60 (negative is better) GF Off/60 GA Off/60 GD/60 Rel GD/60 Off Zone Start %
2012-2013 Season PATRICECORMIER WPG C 10 3.85 7.9 4.68 -1.164 -1.957 0 800 800 0 -2.06 4.68 1.84 2.06 2.84 -4.68 -3.9 62.5

Line: 3

Group:1

Cormier did not play much with the Jets. He dressed for 10 games but only played 3.85 minutes per game at even strength. He performed well in those 40 minutes (Rel Corsi 7.9), but he did so with a favorable O-zone start % and a very weak Rel Corsi QoC.

He didn't play enough to actually pull anything from this data, so it's hard to give any analysis on Cormier. Regardless, he's probably never going to be anything other than a replaceable bottom 6 forward.

If this FanPost is written by someone other than one of the blog's editors, the opinions expressed in it do not necessarily reflect those of this blog or SB Nation.

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