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Fenwick Timeline: Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Fenwick Timelines!! Many number munchers around the web will tout the value of Fenwick and Corsi when analyzing hockey. It tends to be the best long term predictor of future success and can offer a nice snap shot of just how effective a team has been.

Now before you turn off your brain and say “advanced stats are stupid”, Fenwick is simply shots, posts and missed shots added together and it generally goes hand in hand with offensive zone time.

Now for your Winnipeg Jets: Thanks to some awesome work by Arctic Ice Hockey overlord Gabe Desjardins, via his hockey nerd haven www.behindthenet.ca individual game tables, so let’s get at it!

Here is the Fenwick timeline for the Winnipeg Jets vs Toronto Maple Leafs on Febuary 8th. 2013:

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via behindthenet.ca

Leafing one on the table:

This is another chart that reflects exactly what we saw on the ice (or at least what I saw). The Jets dominated play early and carried it throughout the game. On paper this game had the makings of a whooping, until the Jets scored their 2nd goal. The immediate drop off is shocking though.

It really looks like the Jets tried to sit on a one goal lead and failed miserably. I don’t know if this is 100% on them or if it is a result of the Leafs triple shifting Kessel and co, but this has to change.

On the bright side, the Jets have out-Fenwick’ed their opponent in each of their last 4 games, but only have one win to show for it. While this is extremely frustrating and somewhat unfortunate it is a positive sign for the future.

I know ten games isn’t a huge sample size, but the Jets have out shot 6 of their opponents and they played Boston to a draw.

I really don’t see a need to panic folks, but maybe that’s just me.

If want to check out the Fenwick info player by player, Alex Hemsky made it available here.

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