Finishing Talents of Forwards, Home and Road

BOSTON, MA - JANUARY 10: Tuukka Rask #40 of the Boston Bruins stops a penalty shot by Chris Thorburn #22 of the Winnipeg Jets in the first period on January 10, 2012 at TD Garden in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

I looked at the difference between the finishing talents of 1st- and 4th-liners last week and reader jeffgm suggested that home and road data might show the impact of line-matching on goal-scoring. Here's the data:

Home Home Road Road
Quality Shot % Quality Shot %
Top 1/4 7.42 8.10 7.00 7.83
2nd 1/4 7.29 7.54 6.95 7.30
3rd 1/4 7.37 6.96 6.92 6.81
Bot 1/4 7.27 5.89 6.87 6.06

Shot quality shows a home-road differential but all lines maintain the same small difference in each situation. Finishing performance, on the other hand, shows what I think we expect: shooting percentage drops on the road because the home coach can choose who to match lines with. The interesting thing is the jump in shooting percentage for 4th liners - what's going on there? It's not clear to me how you construct a scenario where the 4th line gets easier matchups on the road than at home. Over 114000 shots, it's not likely to be a statistical anomaly.

In This Article

Teams
X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join Arctic Ice Hockey

You must be a member of Arctic Ice Hockey to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Arctic Ice Hockey. You should read them.

Join Arctic Ice Hockey

You must be a member of Arctic Ice Hockey to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at Arctic Ice Hockey. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9355_tracker