"The Sharks Penalty-Kill will be a question mark for the people who predict these things..."

The more Sharks games I watch, the more dumb things Randy Hahn and Drew Remenda say.  Tonight, the Sharks gave up four power-play goals in the first two periods, so of course they've got a really bad penalty-kill, right? 

The Sharks have given up 52.6 shots per 60 minutes at 4-on-5 this season.  We need to regress that to the mean - say 50% (probably more) - which puts the Sharks at 51.6 shots/60.  The average playoff team is at roughly 50.2 this season.  In the playoffs, teams typically play a man down six minutes per game.  Even if the Sharks played the maximum number of playoff games - 28 - those extra 1.4 shots (51.6 - 50.2) will amount to less than half a goal.

Am I counted among "the people who predict these things"?  Because I think the Sharks will basically appear to be a league-average PK team in the playoffs...Something that will make people who expect the Sharks to be #1 in the league at everything very nervous. 

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