12/17/10 Det-Chi Game Participation Stats

CHICAGO IL - DECEMBER 17: Bryan Bickell #29 of the Chicago Blackhawks checks Brian Rafalski #28 of the Detroit Red Wings at the United Center on December 17 2010 in Chicago Illinois. The Blackhawks defeated the Red Wings 4-1. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

So the original intent of this project was to systematically watch a game closely enough to see who was participating in the play and driving the outcome.  In particular, I wanted to find a way to break apart the Keith/Seabrook and Lidstrom/Rafalski pairings to determine analytically which of those players was driving his team's outcomes.  Of course, these things sometimes don't work out how you expect them to.  First, Chicago:

 

# Player EVENTS SHIFT EVTOI EVENT/60
CHI17 Johnson 15 3 2:21 383
CHI36 Bolland 39 9 6:23 367
CHI19 Toews 38 10 7:06 321
CHI51 Campbell 45 7 8:43 310
CHI6 Hendry 7 2 1:26 293
CHI28 Dowell 18 7 4:10 259
CHI22 Brouwer 28 10 6:36 255
CHI5 Cullimore 19 6 4:32 251
CHI4 Hjalmarsson 34 8 8:18 246
CHI7 Seabrook 25 9 6:22 236
CHI10 Sharp 24 9 6:17 229
CHI20 Skille 20 8 5:17 227
CHI24 Boynton 17 7 4:55 207
CHI82 Kopecky 16 7 5:23 178
CHI2 Keith 19 9 7:10 159
CHI15 Pisani 16 9 6:41 144
CHI29 Bickell 14 9 6:42 125
CHI32 Scott 3 2 1:38 110
CHI50 Crawford 11 20:00 33
Total 408 204

 

So, with Chicago up 2 in the third, Brian Campbell was the primary puck carrier and passer.  Detroit looks a bit more like we expect:

 

# Player EVENTS SHIFT EVTOI EVENT/60
DET13 Datsyuk 65 8 7:34 515
DET40 Zetterberg 59 9 7:01 505
DET43 Helm 20 3 2:50 424
DET17 Eaves 30 4 4:21 414
DET8 Abdelkader 21 5 3:14 390
DET52 Ericsson 35 8 5:34 377
DET23 Stuart 34 7 5:41 359
DET28 Rafalski 49 10 8:30 346
DET51 Filppula 27 7 4:47 339
DET44 Bertuzzi 34 8 6:11 330
DET5 Lidstrom 40 10 8:41 276
DET96 Holmstrom 31 8 7:25 251
DET93 Franzen 25 8 6:39 226
DET20 Miller 11 3 2:58 222
DET11 Cleary 21 8 6:05 207
DET55 Kronwall 22 9 6:26 205
DET24 Salei 17 5 5:08 199
DET26 Hudler 7 4 2:17 184
DET35 Howard 13 18:38 42
Total 561 281

 

Still, Brian Rafalski participated in more plays than Lidstrom.  The problem with both Detroit and Chicago is that we haven't accounted for defensive play in any meaningful way, and with one game worth of data, there isn't really much we can do defensively.

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