Jets' Scoring Chance Statistics, 7 Games
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 12:20 PM EDT
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Thanks to the efforts of some of our readers (thanks again!), we have a good amount of scoring chance data to put together and sort out. I gave you the game-by-game version earlier; now I want to give you some cumulative data so far.
SC = scoring chance; I used per 15/20 minutes for forwards/defencemen to mimic a per game metric.
| Forwards | GP | SCF 5v5 | SCA 5v5 | SC+/- 5v5 | SCF 5v4 | SCF 5v4/15 | SCA 4v5 | SCA 4v5/15 |
| Nik Antropov | 7 | 21 | 21 | 0 | 8 | 7.27 | 10 | 9.88 |
| Alexander Burmistrov | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 3.99 | 11 | 8.93 |
| Tanner Glass | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 5.79 |
| Evander Kane | 7 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 7.23 | 2 | 38.96 |
| Andrew Ladd | 7 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 5.63 | 12 | 9.44 |
| Bryan Little | 7 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 8 | 5.44 | 11 | 9.46 |
| Brett MacLean | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Ben Maxwell | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 7.81 |
| Kenndal McArdle | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Mark Scheifele | 6 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6.22 | 4 | 23.72 |
| Jim Slater | 5 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 1 | 4.76 | 4 | 7.08 |
| Tim Stapleton | 4 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 8.77 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Chris Thorburn | 7 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 1 | 5.73 | 5 | 6.64 |
| Kyle Wellwood | 7 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6.88 | 3 | 18.75 |
| Blake Wheeler | 7 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 4.94 | 7 | 23.18 |
| Defencemen | GP | SCF 5v5 | SCA 5v5 | SC+/- 5v5 | SCF 5v4 | SCF 5v4/20 | SCA 4v5 | SCA 4v5/20 |
| Zach Bogosian | 7 | 24 | 28 | -4 | 8 | 7.48 | 10 | 12.21 |
| Dustin Byfuglien | 7 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 10 | 7.39 | 5 | 14.99 |
| Tobias Enstrom | 7 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 10 | 6.76 | 21 | 14.56 |
| Ron Hainsey | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 16.39 | 2 | 4.01 |
| Randy Jones | 4 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 8 | 39.31 |
| Derek Meech | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Johnny Oduya | 6 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4.27 | 10 | 12.80 |
| Mark Stuart | 7 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 0 | 0.00 | 14 | 9.98 |
| Goaltender | GP | SCF 5v5 | SCA 5v5 | SC+/- 5v5 | SCF 5v4 | SCA 4v5 | ||
| Chris Mason | 4 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 7 | 20 | ||
| Ondrej Pavelec | 5 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 11 | 15 |
Some observations...
- It looks like Chris Thorburn and Jim Slater have done pretty well on the penalty kill. Ditto Mark Stuart. Zach Bogosian's looking as good as Dustin Byfuglien on the powerplay.
- For Tobias Enstrom and Byfuglien to be so far apart in scoring chance plus-minus is a testament to Enstrom's all-around ability, as well as the fact that Bustin is lost without his little Toby.
- Andrew Ladd, Bryan Little, and Blake Wheeler aren't quite as bad as the box score suggests; it appears they can generate the chances out there. Good to see Evander Kane and Alexander Burmistrov in the plus as well; no mirage there.
- In defence of Tanner Glass, Jim Slater, and Chris Thorburn's 5v5 numbers, and in a way a knock on guys like Kane and Tim Stapleton, GST's been given very few starts in the offensive zone (all are around 25%).
- All in all, the Jets aren't quite as bad as they looked the first couple of games, but they're still plagued by defensive lapses. Some of that is going to be holding guys who commit those lapses accountable, and considering giving young guys a chance to show they can do better (Arturs Kulda and Paul Postma, for instance).
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I’m pretty surprised to see Enstrom to look so solid defensively as a 50pt D-man. This is awesome info to have where are you getting it from? Are you counting yourself?
Also could you give a Leaf fan some info on Enstrom’s injury? (fantasy owner)
@phoking_awesome
by pho king awesome on Nov 2, 2011 8:52 AM EDT reply actions
They weren't paired together early...
Jones and Oduya gave away at least 5 free pizzas while standing next to Buff.
Enstrom plays more than Buff as well.
I was surprised
to see such a difference, but I distinctly remember thinking to myself, My god, everybody seems to give up scoring chances when they’re paired with Byfuglien. And it always seemed to happen right after Toby left the ice, or on the shifts when Noel had split them up. To some degree, it has to be fluky, but not completely.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 9:55 AM EDT up reply actions
Buff wasn't responsible for the horrible plays by Jones / Oduya
But he has been responsible for standing around in his end watching opponents pass around him, shoot and score.
No doubt
Combine that with terrible plays by Jones & Oduya, and you have a rough statistical start to the season. Like I said above, though, I think some of that is a bit fluky.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 11:59 AM EDT up reply actions
Finally back from European Exile
Nice to be back.
Can someone enlighten me on the lines Noel has been using. Are the Jets playing Little, Ladd and Wheeler together? Are Burmi and Kane on the same line?
Just looking at the goalie stats, I’m making the assumption the Jets are out-chancing the opposition at 5v5 (narrowly) but getting murdered on special teams. Sound right?
Ryan Popilchak
Matchsticks & Gasoline, Artic Ice Hockey, &Hockey Prospectus. My twitter handle is @sprtopinionated
Re: lines
Burmi, Antro, and Kane are locked in as a line (fetch coined it the “BAK in the USSR” Line), and Glass, Slater, and Thorburn are the GST Line (4th line work, plus penalty kill for S & T). Ladd’s Little Wheeler has kind of a weird arrangement, where Wheeler starts the game banished to the 3rd line, but by the end of the game ends up back with Ladd and Little.
Re: special teams: you are exactly right. A lot of chances for both sides at 5v5, but we are getting roughed up on the kill.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 12:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Far too often
They grab the lead via even strength only to watch it disappear on the penalty kill. coach Noel is bound to emote one of these days on the amount of penalties taken and the lack of proficiency by the pk units
In Canada our balls are bigger
Writer for Arctic Ice Hockey
by canadian texan on Nov 2, 2011 5:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Ah, just multiply by 4 or 3
Ya whiner. You shouldn’t be comparing forwards to defencemen when it comes to scoring chances, anyway.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions
No problem
Gotta figure out how to make the graph smaller (or split it), because I’d also like to include the TOI figures.
Co-Manager at Arctic Ice Hockey
Want Jets historical stats, Gabe Desjardins metrics, Jets prospect scouting reports, player previews, and old school photos from the WHA days? Get your copy of the First Commemorative Maple Street Press Winnipeg Jets Annual for 2011-12 here.
by Bettman's Nightmare on Nov 2, 2011 11:31 PM EDT up reply actions
Fantastic Stuff Ben
Interesting that Oduya’s numbers are OK.
As for Buff if he appears to be an anchor on whatever pair he’s involved in. He’s played 3 games with Oduya and 4 with Enstrom and his numbers are much worse than both of them.
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