What is Evgeni Nabokov worth?
by Hawerchuk on Apr 23, 2010 9:00 AM EDT
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PrintEvgeni Nabokov has been a fairly pedestrian goaltender since the lockout, but he has drawn a significant salary:
| Season | GVT | SV% | Norm $ |
| 2005-06 | -12 | 885 | 4.9 |
| 2006-07 | 12.9 | 914 | 6.45 |
| 2007-08 | 7.7 | 910 | 5.65 |
| 2008-09 | 9.6 | 910 | 5.51 |
| 2009-10 | 32.1 | 922 | 6 |
| Total | 50.3 | 910 | 28.51 |
I've normalized his salary into 2009-10 dollars, where the average win from a goaltender costs $2.8M (marginal wins per marginal dollar), while the average win from a UFA skater costs $2.3M. The Sharks paid $3.1M for 8.4 wins from Nabokov - had the Sharks spent more efficiently, they could have had another three wins over five seasons.
As Craig Anderson has shown, the market for goaltenders is hardly efficient. Nabokov has made a lot of money for being pretty average, and at age 34, is on the wrong side of the aging curve. A 2-year deal worth $7M would probably give the buying team reasonable value, but Nabokov will probably want more years and more dollars given that he's coming off the best season of his career.
As for the Sharks, I think their plan should be clear: put together a goaltending tandem of Thomas Greiss and a bargain basement signing, and use the leftover money on Joe Pavelski!
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Hate to see Nabby go but we can’t afford him! Plus i was only really stoked with him when sharks went to Western Conference finals and lost to Dalls two years ago.
by InThorntonweTrust on Apr 23, 2010 12:23 PM EDT reply actions
I’m assuming you mean Western Conference semi-finals, also known as the 2nd round. If the most impressive thing your 6M$ goalie has done in 7 years is get you to round 2, I think we have all the answers we need.
2003-2004 vs Calgary
That was the first time, and this year will be the second!
by InThorntonweTrust on Apr 24, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions
Agreed, Pavelski has become a serious gamer in the NHL.
Bettman's Nightmare: We See a Good Bettman/Fans Metaphor When We See One, and Frankly, Lane Smith Was Too Hard on Emilio Estevez When He Was A Kid.
http://bettmansnightmare.blogspot.com/
by Bettman's Nightmare on Apr 23, 2010 12:45 PM EDT reply actions
Hmm
I have a way different number for the price of goalie wins. I put it a lot lower.
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