Deflections: League Leaders
by Hawerchuk on Nov 9, 2009 9:00 AM EST
in Statistics
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PrintTyler Bleszinski asked me a great question: "Does the NHL keep track of the number of deflections or who is best in the league at deflections, even if it doesn’t go in?"
In 2005-06 and 2006-07, the league recorded deflections, but only for goals and shots on goal. In 2007-08 and 2008-09, they split deflections into a second group, called "tip-ins," which go in at exactly the same rate, league-wide, as deflections. And finally, this season, they've started recording when deflections miss the net - we don't have enough games to draw any conclusions yet.
As I started poring over the data, I realized there were several other related questions we could answer at the same time. In particular: which players have the most deflections? Which players get the most rebounds? Which players have the most offensive takeaways below the face-off dots? And which players draw the most non-coincidental penalties in that same offensive area? I'll answer these questions over the course of the next few days, and hopefully we can get a sense of which forwards derive a lot of their value from their work in front of and around the net.
Here are the total number of deflections over the last four seasons, and the shooting percentage on them, at even-strength and on the power-play:
| ES | ES | PP | PP | |||
| SOG | G | SPCT | SOG | G | SPCT | |
| Total | 12154 | 2331 | 19.2 | 4980 | 1227 | 24.6 |
| Home | 6589 | 1249 | 19.0 | 2725 | 683 | 25.1 |
| Away | 5565 | 1082 | 19.4 | 2255 | 544 | 24.1 |
As with most subjective statistics that are collected at NHL arenas, there is a significant bias for the home team. While home teams outshoot road teams by 7-8%, home teams are credited with 20% more deflections. So if we want to look at which team is the best on deflections, we're best-off looking only at road stats. The league leaders in deflections are:
| Player | Deflections |
| Tomas Holmstrom | 165 |
| Daniel Sedin | 147 |
| Thomas Vanek | 132 |
| Keith Tkachuk | 120 |
| Daymond Langkow | 109 |
| Scott Hartnell | 107 |
| Zach Parise | 105 |
| Andrew Brunette | 104 |
| Mike Knuble | 99 |
| Ryan Smyth | 99 |
Well, if I had to guess who'd be #1, I'd probably say Holmstrom. I think a lot of us can vividly see him getting abused by an opposing defenseman in front of the net and still directing the puck on goal. Ryan Smyth and Mike Knuble aren't surprises either. As I said above, this post got me wondering about other physical talents around the goal, and I'll look into them in further detail in my next couple of posts.
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How does Keith Tkachuk have any deflections? That’d be like Kyle Wellwood having a deflection. A puck hitting anything that big can only be counted as a save, because it isn’t going anywhere but into their stomach – or in Wellwood’s case, into his mouth first, before his stomach.
But seriously though, Holmstrom has to be #1. He’s like Dave Andreychuk; doesn’t score too many goals from clappers or wrist shots but is great at finding pucks in / near the crease and is always capable of putting up solid numbers.
Wonder how long it will be before Dustin Byfuglien will be in the top 10 – he’s like an XL version of Holmstrom.
by Belligerent Burkie on Nov 9, 2009 1:55 PM EST reply actions
Great article
The slap pass must also count – I was surprised to see Daniel Sedin so high. Of course, if he keeps doing his little jump in front of the goalie, I guess he could eventually pick up the deflections.
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