2007-08 5v5 Goaltender Performance (Full Season)

I finally ran the full-season's worth of shot quality/goaltending statistics (see Mid-Season stats.) There was some discussion over at James Mirtle's site, with some people claiming that Evgeni Nabokov was deserving of the Vezina Trophy - and not Martin Brodeur. The stats don't bear that out:

Nabokov Expected Save PCT 909, Actual 908 - GAA 0.03 higher than average goaltender
Brodeur Expected Save PCT 906, Actual 920 - GAA 0.34 *lower* than average goaltender

Brodeur faced tougher shots than Nabokov, and did a way better job of stopping them. There's no way to argue from a shot quality perspective that Nabokov deserves the award.


Here's the rest of the league, minimum 20 GP:

 GP TOI SOG GA SPCT GAA EGA ESPT EGAA DELTAGAA
DUBIELEWICZ20 787:01 394 31 921 2.36 41.1 895 3.13 -0.77
LUNDQVIST 72 3063:24 1201 99 917 1.94 137 885 2.68 -0.74
GIGUERE 58 2287:15 1001 65 935 1.71 92.97 907 2.44 -0.73
HILLER 23 863:21 354 27 923 1.88 37.02 895 2.57 -0.7
FLEURY 35 1285:49 614 41 933 1.91 53.92 912 2.52 -0.6
THOMAS 57 2465:18 1186 83 930 2.02 105.8 910 2.58 -0.56
CONKLIN 33 1311:57 714 47 934 2.15 58.5 918 2.68 -0.53
BRYZGALOV 64 2578:31 1266 91 928 2.12 112.3 911 2.61 -0.5
PRICE 41 1669:29 837 63 924 2.26 75.77 909 2.72 -0.46
LEHTONEN 48 1953:15 1066 88 917 2.7 102.2 904 3.14 -0.43
HUET 52 2170:39 1013 77 923 2.13 91.53 909 2.53 -0.4
BRODEUR 77 3392:35 1386 110 920 1.95 129.5 906 2.29 -0.34
LEGACE 66 2616:37 1084 88 918 2.02 102.4 905 2.35 -0.33
HASEK 41 1587:27 545 42 922 1.59 50.68 907 1.92 -0.33
ELLIS 44 1584:18 805 62 922 2.35 70.76 912 2.68 -0.33
TELLQVIST 22 871:55 413 33 920 2.27 37.57 909 2.59 -0.31
KHABIBULIN 50 1943:04 850 77 909 2.38 86.75 897 2.68 -0.3
OSGOOD 43 1728:03 663 58 912 2.01 66.61 899 2.31 -0.3
AULD 32 1199:26 520 42 919 2.1 47.57 908 2.38 -0.28
VOKOUN 69 2910:13 1510 122 919 2.52 134.5 910 2.77 -0.26
LUONGO 73 2908:45 1318 103 921 2.12 115.7 912 2.39 -0.26
GERBER 57 2248:37 1086 94 913 2.51 103.2 905 2.75 -0.24
BIRON 62 2427:39 1241 95 923 2.35 103.5 916 2.56 -0.21
DIPIETRO 63 2631:01 1173 106 909 2.42 114.4 902 2.61 -0.19
LALIME 32 1267:26 561 54 903 2.56 57.76 897 2.73 -0.18
NIITTYMAKI 28 938:43 474 45 905 2.88 47.46 899 3.03 -0.16
THEODORE 53 2243:30 967 87 910 2.33 92.65 904 2.48 -0.15
LABARBERA 45 1721:56 945 86 908 3.00 90.3 904 3.15 -0.15
TOSKALA 66 2720:58 1201 111 907 2.45 116.6 902 2.57 -0.12
KIPRUSOFF 76 3087:15 1379 118 914 2.29 123.7 910 2.40 -0.11
WARD 69 2718:41 1233 113 908 2.49 117.6 904 2.60 -0.1
LECLAIRE 54 2075:24 880 67 923 1.94 70.49 919 2.04 -0.1
TURCO 62 2556:30 1022 91 910 2.14 94.91 907 2.23 -0.09
MILLER 76 3130:07 1399 122 912 2.34 125.8 910 2.41 -0.07
BUDAJ 35 1405:13 587 52 911 2.22 52.53 910 2.24 -0.02
BACKSTROM 58 2441:35 1110 90 918 2.21 89.42 919 2.20 0.01
NABOKOV 77 3266:15 1190 109 908 2 10 7.49 909 1.97 0.03
NORRENA 37 1359:34 548 57 895 2.52 53.55 902 2.36 0.15
HARDING 29 1141:15 578 54 906 2.84 51.01 911 2.68 0.16
RAMO 22 954:17 453 46 898 2.89 43.27 904 2.72 0.17
MASON 51 1902:51 850 86 898 2.71 80.27 905 2.53 0.18
SABOURIN 24 854:58 383 38 900 2.67 35.36 907 2.48 0.19
KOLZIG 54 2292:20 929 98 894 2.57 89.88 903 2.35 0.21
SMITH 34 1433:34 597 64 892 2.68 58.21 902 2.44 0.24
ROLOSON 43 1670:23 795 79 900 2.84 71.72 909 2.58 0.26
EMERY 31 1205:08 505 52 897 2.59 46.44 908 2.31 0.28
GARON 47 1848:13 882 87 901 2.82 78.14 911 2.54 0.29
HEDBERG 36 1384:59 676 73 892 3.16 64.26 904 2.78 0.38
HOLMQVIST 47 1932:04 760 91 880 2.83 68.73 909 2.13 0.69
TOIVONEN 23 842:20 359 51 857 3.63 38.76 892 2.76 0.87